Full-Stack M-Pesa Fraud Detection MVP

An end-to-end solution with real-time anomaly detection, behavioral analysis, and graph features - built in just 2 months.

Transaction Alert

Potential Fraud Detected

HIGH RISK
Sender: 2547*****89
Receiver: 2547*****23 (NEW)
Amount: KES 45,200
Time: 2 minutes ago
Pattern: Rapid transfers to new recipients

Project Overview

Our MVP focuses on rapidly developing a fraud detection system for M-Pesa transactions using machine learning and graph-based features. The solution will identify suspicious patterns in real-time while providing actionable insights.

Full-Stack Solution

End-to-end implementation from data pipeline to frontend dashboard in 2 months.

Graph Features

Leverage network analytics to detect complex fraud patterns that traditional methods miss.

Real-time Detection

API prototype for immediate fraud scoring of incoming transactions with basic alerting.

Key Features & Approach

Targeted Fraud Patterns

  • Fake payment reversals
  • Unusual large transfers to new recipients
  • Rapid transactions from single source to multiple new numbers
  • SIM swap characteristics

Feature Engineering

Transaction

Amount, type, timestamp

Temporal

Counts in time windows

Uniqueness

New recipients count

Graph

Node degree, path counts

Model Architecture

Gradient Boosting (LightGBM/XGBoost)

Primary supervised model for tabular fraud data

Isolation Forest

Unsupervised anomaly detection for outliers

Graph Features

Network metrics fed into tree-based models

Graph Feature Example

Clustering Coefficient: 0.72
PageRank Score: 0.0045
Common Neighbors: 3
Shortest Path: 2

Backend Services

Our full-stack architecture includes robust backend services built in just 8 weeks.

Data Pipeline

  • Simulated transaction generator
  • Real-time feature computation
  • Graph feature extraction

API Services

  • FastAPI endpoints
  • Real-time scoring
  • WebSocket alerts

Database

  • PostgreSQL for transactions
  • Redis for real-time caching
  • Neo4j for graph relationships

Project Timeline

Our accelerated 2-month development plan focuses on delivering core functionality while building essential AI skills.

Month 1: Data & Core Model Development

Week 1: Data Simulation

Deep dive into M-Pesa fraud types. Design and implement initial simulated data generation with basic transactions + 2-3 fraud patterns.

Week 2: Feature Engineering

Refine data generation. Develop temporal and uniqueness features. Prepare data for ML models.

Week 3: Model Training

Train and evaluate core tree-based models (LightGBM/XGBoost) on initial features. Establish baseline performance.

Week 4: Graph Features

Introduce graph representation using NetworkX. Engineer basic graph features. Retrain models with new features.

Month 2: Prototype & Showcase

Week 5: Anomaly Detection

Implement Isolation Forest for anomaly detection. Explore ensembling/combining predictions.

Week 6: API Development

Build lightweight Flask/FastAPI endpoint for real-time inference. Integrate chosen model(s).

Week 7: Testing & Tuning

Rigorous testing with generated streaming data. Fine-tune models based on performance.

Week 8: Showcase

Performance analysis and reporting. Prepare MVP demonstration and documentation. Outline future enhancements.

Interactive Demo

Experience our simulated fraud detection system in action. The demo processes synthetic transaction data in real-time.

Transaction Monitoring

Status: ACTIVE
Time Sender Receiver Amount Risk

Full-Stack Alerting

Detection Statistics

Precision 78%
Recall 92%
F1-Score 84%

Graph Visualization

Graph visualization will appear here when demo is running

Technology Stack

Python

JavaScript

Node.js

Pandas

Scikit-learn

NetworkX

FastAPI

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